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Costs for LOX and liquid H2?

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8:53 pm
January 6, 2010


Luke Maurits

Adelaide, Australia

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I've extended the CLLARE by numbers page to include cost estimates as well as mass.  Since we have total mass estimates for our LOX and LH2 requirements, if we can get a cost per kilo on these propellants we can estimate our fuel costs.  I haven't had much luck chasing these prices down, if anybody else can manage to do it I'd appreciate hearing the results.

Main CLLARE workgroups: Mission Planning, Navigation and Guidance. I do maths, physics, C, Python and Java.

10:49 pm
January 6, 2010


Luke Maurits

Adelaide, Australia

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I've found a rough figure for H2 costs at Wikipedia: "Currently, most hydrogen is produced on site and the cost is approximately $0.32/lb and, if not produced on site, the cost of liquid hydrogen is about $1.00/lb to $1.40/lb".  This is pretty cheap, it puts the cost of our required 750 kg at $2314.86 if we buy it (at the $1.40/lb rate) rather than produce it ourselves.

I've had less luck with LOX.  No hard figures just lots of vague statements about it being very cheap – "pennies per pound", etc.

It looks like the total cost of fuel is going to be pretty low, anyway, under $10,000 per flight.  This will likely be dwarfed by the actual cost of the craft themselves and, of course, the launch (about $35 million for Falcon 9).

It looks like an individual CLLARE flight will end up costing less than $50 million (I can't imagine the crafts themselves costing more than $15 million if we use volunteer labour wherever we can).  That sounds like a lot of money to everday folks like you and me, but it's pretty cheap in the scheme of things – we could fly about 5 missions for the cost of a Boeing 747.

Main CLLARE workgroups: Mission Planning, Navigation and Guidance. I do maths, physics, C, Python and Java.

5:36 am
January 7, 2010


Rocket-To-The-Moon

Altus, Oklahoma, USA

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Yes, very cheap indeed. So cheap in fact that it almost could be a vacation for the rich (as with ISS flights).

$15 million for the mission hardware sounds like plenty. I am trying to do a mental tally of the very expensive parts.

  • Lander motor
  • RCS units
  • Fuel tanks
  • Navigation system
  • Heat shield

The structures themselves should be fairly cheap to build. Off the shelf electronics will be inexpensive.

Main Workgroups: Propulsion & Spacecraft Engineering

7:16 am
January 7, 2010


Luke Maurits

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Rocket-To-The-Moon said:

Yes, very cheap indeed. So cheap in fact that it almost could be a vacation for the rich (as with ISS flights).


This idea has some potential.  A lunar flyby vacation, where we put the stack on a free return trajectory and leave it at that, would give an amazing experience (getting to within a few hundred kilometers of the moon), be relatively safe (compared to an actual lunar landing) and be even cheaper than the $50 million figure – we would not need to launch the mass of the lander, or the fuel for lunar ascent/descent or lunar capture and lunar escape.  The mass to launch would be just the CM, a Mission Extension Module, a fuel module with enough fuel for TLI and an orbital bus.  This stack would probably weigh half as much as the full mission stack so we may be able to source a cheaper launch than the Falcon 9 for significant savings.

Heck, even if we're not thinking about vacation options, we'll want to do a mission like this ourselves before an actual landing to test various systems out.  $50 million will be the cost of a "full" CLLARE mission – each of the lead up missions will be cheaper so it may be that an entire lunar mission program (something like suborbital; orbital; circumular; lunar landing – with each phase being unmanned first and then unmanned) could cost around the price of a 747.  What an astonishing achievement!

At this point I can't help but think we must be overlooking something – if going to the moon wtih off-the-shelf 2010 technology is so damned cheap, why isn't everybody doing it?  We've achieved some great things in planning CLLARE out to this level of detail, especially given our small size, but we haven't done anything that hundreds of thousands of grad students around the world couldn't also do.  Hell, if the "big five" on this forum had all been in the one room with an internet connection and enough caffeine/alcohol we probably could have got to this point in 24 (very exciting!) hours.  A mission like this must have been planned before, more than once.  Why isn't it happening?

Main CLLARE workgroups: Mission Planning, Navigation and Guidance. I do maths, physics, C, Python and Java.

12:32 pm
January 7, 2010


Rocket-To-The-Moon

Altus, Oklahoma, USA

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Luke Maurits said:

if going to the moon wtih off-the-shelf 2010 technology is so damned cheap, why isn't everybody doing it?  


I think that our design lacks the versatility that major space agencies need. With that being said, our small and lightweight craft is perfect for transporting someone to one of NASA's (eventual) Moon bases.

I bet if you were to take a pole of the billionaires on Earth, you would find that many of them would love to be able to look back on the Earth from space and the Moon. Of all the things that one can spend money on, I cannot imagine this being a letdown.

This project would be absolutely amazing with physical groups of ~10 people. Even a 2-3 hour brainstorming session could completly outline a spacecraft subsystem to include sourcing parts, cost estimates, mass estimates, ect.

Main Workgroups: Propulsion & Spacecraft Engineering

7:13 am
January 10, 2010


brmj

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Liquid oxygen cost in 2001 was $0.21/kg. Not sure about current prices or if that is for shipped in or on site.

Main work groups: Propulsion (booster), Spacecraft Engineering, Computer Systems, Navigation and Guidance (software)

8:53 am
January 10, 2010


Rocket-To-The-Moon

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I was reading an article a few days ago that fuel cost should never really be a concern because in the scheme of things it is minimal (on the order of <1% mission cost). If I recall correctly, the Saturn V's fuel cost was only .15% of the mission cost.

With that being said. Our low cost approach will mean that fuel will form a larger percentage of the total cost.

I tried finding the source, but I'm coming up empty handed.

Main Workgroups: Propulsion & Spacecraft Engineering

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